5 Key Projections For LSU Baseball Stats 2025: The Lineup & Pitching Staff Set To Dominate The SEC
The LSU Tigers are poised for a massive 2025 season, entering the year as a consensus top-five team nationally and a leading contender for the College World Series title. As of December 19, 2025, while official statistics for the upcoming season are still months away, a deep dive into the finalized roster, the historic transfer class, and the phenomenal returning core provides a clear picture of what the team’s statistical output will look like. Coach Jay Johnson has masterfully rebuilt the roster with an ideal "Moneyball" mix of 15 high-impact transfers, 11 elite freshmen, and 14 experienced returners, setting the stage for a statistical explosion in Baton Rouge.
The 2025 LSU baseball season is shaping up to be a showcase of power hitting and elite pitching depth, a combination designed specifically to navigate the grueling SEC schedule. The team is projected to have one of the highest run-scoring offenses in the country, anchored by two of college baseball’s most feared hitters, while the pitching staff has been completely revamped with high-ceiling arms capable of going deep into games.
The Core of the 2025 LSU Baseball Roster: Key Players and Transfers
The strength of the 2025 LSU team lies in its balance of proven SEC talent and immediate-impact transfers. The following players are the statistical anchors for the upcoming season:
- Jared Jones (1B): The power-hitting first baseman returns after a phenomenal 2024 season that saw him launch 28 home runs, establishing himself as one of the elite power threats in the country. He was a 2024 First-Team All-American and is expected to be a top-tier MLB Draft prospect in 2025.
- Steven Milam (SS/2B): A 2024 Freshman All-American, Milam is the Tigers' defensive and offensive catalyst. He is a dynamic player who is now rated as one of the best shortstops in the nation.
- Daniel Dickinson (2B, Transfer from Utah Valley): The biggest addition to the infield, Dickinson arrives after a stellar 2024 season where he posted a remarkable .376 batting average, a .596 slugging percentage, and a .445 on-base percentage (OBP). He immediately projects as a top-of-the-order threat.
- Anthony Eyanson (RHP, Transfer from UC San Diego): Eyanson is projected to be a key starter in the rotation. In 2024, he finished with a strong 3.07 ERA, demonstrating the control and effectiveness needed to succeed in the SEC.
- Jaxon Anderson (RHP): A 2024 Freshman All-American, Anderson returns as a cornerstone of the starting rotation. He is expected to build on his impressive debut season, earning a spot on the 2025 Baseball America Preseason All-American list.
- Gavin Guidry (RHP): After missing the 2024 season due to injury (medical redshirt), the former Stopper of the Year Watch List member returns to solidify the bullpen, having previously posted a 3-0 record and a 3.77 ERA as a closer.
- Omar Serna (C, Freshman): The top-ranked catcher in America, Serna is a highly-touted recruit who elected to bypass the 2025 MLB Draft, providing elite defense and a high-upside bat behind the plate.
- Derek Curiel (OF, Freshman): Another elite freshman, Curiel is projected to immediately step into a starting outfield role, bringing high-level defensive skills and a polished approach at the plate.
Projected Offensive Production: The Sluggers and Catalysts
The 2025 LSU offense is built around a blend of proven power and high on-base percentage hitters. The projected lineup is deeper and more versatile than the previous year, which should lead to improved consistency, especially in conference play.
1. Jared Jones: Projected 2025 Power Statistics
Jones is the undisputed leader of the offense. His 28 home runs in 2024 (with a .301 average) set a high bar, and with a full year of experience at first base, his focus will be purely on his hitting mechanics.
- Projected Batting Average (AVG): .315 - .330
- Projected Home Runs (HR): 28 - 35
- Projected Runs Batted In (RBI): 80 - 95
- Projected Slugging Percentage (SLG): .650+
The projection for Jones is slightly higher due to the increased lineup protection provided by the new transfers. If he can maintain his discipline, he will be a strong contender for the Golden Spikes Award.
2. Steven Milam and Daniel Dickinson: The Infield Engine
The middle infield duo is expected to be the statistical engine that drives the offense, creating constant traffic on the base paths for the power hitters. Milam, the returning star, is expected to elevate his game as a sophomore, while Dickinson's college production is elite.
- Steven Milam Projected AVG: .330 - .345 (Up from .326)
- Steven Milam Projected Doubles/Triples: 20+ (Increased gap power)
- Daniel Dickinson Projected AVG: .350 - .370 (Slight dip from .376 expected due to SEC pitching, but still elite)
- Daniel Dickinson Projected OBP: .430 - .450 (His plate discipline is a huge asset)
This dynamic double-play combination will be critical to the team’s run production, ensuring that LSU consistently pressures opposing pitchers. Their combined on-base percentage is projected to be well over .400, a nightmare for SEC defenses.
Pitching Staff Projections: A Deep and Dangerous Rotation
LSU’s pitching staff for 2025 is arguably the deepest it has been in years, featuring a strong mix of returning experience and high-quality transfer arms. The staff's overall statistics are projected to be significantly better than the previous season, with a focus on high strikeout rates and a lower collective ERA.
3. The New-Look Starting Rotation: Projected ERA and Strikeouts
The rotation will be anchored by Jaxon Anderson and transfer Anthony Eyanson, with a trio of LSU starters ranked among D1Baseball's Top 150 pitchers. The emphasis for this staff is on efficiency and getting into the late innings.
- Jaxon Anderson (RHP): As a returning Freshman All-American, he is projected to be the Friday night ace.
- Projected ERA: 3.20 - 3.60
- Projected Innings Pitched (IP): 90 - 100
- Projected Strikeouts (K): 100+
- Anthony Eyanson (RHP): His 3.07 ERA from 2024 suggests he can immediately handle a high-leverage weekend role.
- Projected ERA: 3.50 - 3.90
- Projected WHIP: 1.25 or lower
- Overall Rotation: The collective performance of the starting pitchers is projected to keep LSU in the top half of the SEC in terms of starting pitcher ERA, a crucial factor for a championship run.
4. The Bullpen and Closer Role: The Return of Gavin Guidry
The bullpen is where the Tigers have added significant depth. The return of Gavin Guidry is a game-changer, providing a proven, high-leverage option in the ninth inning. His ability to consistently close out games will stabilize the entire staff.
- Gavin Guidry (RHP, Closer):
- Projected Saves (SV): 10 - 15 (Assuming a full season as the primary closer)
- Projected ERA: 2.50 or lower
- Kade Woods (RHP): Expected to be a key setup man or middle reliever. His high-velocity stuff, despite a limited 2024, makes him a prime breakout candidate for a sub-3.50 ERA.
- Bullpen Collective ERA: The collective ERA of the relief corps is projected to be in the 3.75 - 4.25 range, a necessary improvement to compete with the SEC's top teams.
5. Team Statistical Benchmarks: The Road to Omaha
To meet the pre-season expectations of a College World Series contender, LSU must hit several key team statistical benchmarks. These overall metrics will be the true measure of their success in 2025:
- Team Batting Average (AVG): The goal is to finish above the .300 mark, which is challenging in the SEC, but achievable with the high-average hitters like Dickinson and Milam.
- Team Home Runs: With Jones leading the charge, the team is projected to hit between 130 and 150 home runs, placing them among the top five power-hitting teams nationally.
- Team Earned Run Average (ERA): A championship-caliber ERA in the SEC is typically below 4.50. With the additions and returning talent, the 2025 LSU staff is projected to finish with a Team ERA between 4.10 and 4.40.
- Fielding Percentage: LSU will rely on the elite defense of Milam and the stability of the transfer class to post a fielding percentage of .975 or higher, minimizing unearned runs that can derail a season.
The infusion of 15 transfers and the maturation of returning stars like Milam and Jones have created a roster with incredible statistical upside. The 2025 LSU baseball season is projected to be one of the program's most productive in recent memory, with individual statistical achievements driving the team deep into the NCAA Tournament.
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